BAD luck seems the one impediment between Levee Bank and success when the five-year-old contests the Heritage Motel Benchmark 63 Handicap on Cootamundra Cup Day.
Form analyst Matt Jones believes the Kerry Weir-trained mare solely must repeat her final efficiency to be in competition and hasn’t hesitated in making her his greatest for the day.
Jones additionally suggests punters put a bit apart for Cama De Rosas as his worth choice.
SCROLL BELOW FOR RACE-BY-RACE ANALYSIS
MATT JONES’ BEST BESTS
BEST BET: LEVEE BANK (Race 5 No. 2)
All she has to do is run in addition to she did final begin in opposition to Don’t Give A Damn and Suncraze to win this race.
BEST VALUE: CAMA DE ROSAS (Race 6, No. three)
Is beginning to discover her true potential and there’s no purpose she will’t determine within the end right here for a prime nation steady.
SUGGESTED BETS: RUNNING DOUBLE: Race 7 No. 5, race eight No. 2
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW: BRENDAN WARD
Has seven rides and most of them are available in the market and look to be possibilities.
TRAINER TO FOLLOW: TREVOR SUTHERLAND
Has two large hopes within the Cootamundra Cup and he’s at the moment behind solely Paul Perry and Kris Less for many nation winners educated this season.
SHAYNE O’CASS’ BEST BETS
BEST BET: BELFYER (Race 6, No. 1)
Has actually hit his straps since he left Queensland to hitch the John Shelton steady. In his 4 begins for the grasp coach he has received two races, together with a Moree Cup. Excels on the 1400m and can carry weight.
NEXT BEST: THE RIDGE (Race four, No. 9)
Was tipped out after his encouraging debut at Grafton in April behind the gifted Impregnable. Resumes over 1300m however was tuned-up for the journey with a current win in a 1000m Gold Coast barrier trial.
VALUE: TIACONI (Race 5, No. 2)
Was specked on the double-figure odds final begin and gave an ideal sight for her supporters. That was the perfect run of the present marketing campaign suggesting that she is headed in the best path now.
TRAINER TO FOLLOW
Matthew Dunn is the undisputed punter’s pal, not solely within the TAB Highways on the town, however most actually wherever up across the northern rivers the place he’s simply so dominant and constant. Has an ideal hand to play at Ballina.
Quinella — Race 1 Nos. four,7
Quinella — Race 6 Nos. 1,three
Exacta — Race 6 No. 1 to beat No. three
Race four: 1,2,5,9
Race 5: 2,three,four,13
Race 6: 1,three
Race 7: three,5,7,eight
Max alternative for trek down Highway
WAGGA coach Trevor Sutherland can safe a spot within the $200,000 Anniversary Highway race (1400m) at Randwick on Everest Day with Gentleman Max if he wins Sunday’s Darley Cootamundra Cup (1600m).
“The Anniversary Highway has been on my agenda for six months and I’ve tried to program him perfectly for it,” Sutherland stated.
“If you child him a bit an excessive amount of he can placed on weight rapidly so this shall be an ideal preparation going into the Anniversary Highway.
“Hopefully we are able to win and these few extras rankings factors shall be an ideal bonus to us.”
Gentleman Max’s Benchmark score is 74 so he’s in line to take his place within the large race at Randwick, however as we speak’s task is the very first thing he should accomplish and Sutherland says he strains up nicely in opposition to a small however aggressive discipline.
“His form is pretty well impeccable this time in and it’s a winnable race,” Sutherland stated. “We’ve tried to alter his racing sample a bit this yr so we are able to sit loads nearer on him. We used to sit down again and include a run which most likely price us a couple of races.
“On the dry tracks you may’t be too distant from the leaders and he’s tailored to it very nicely.”
Gun Trace would be the seemingly chief from an excellent draw whereas Gentleman Max will push ahead from barrier seven and sit exterior him with Nick Souquet on board.
Sutherland is conscious his five-year-old hasn’t received on an excellent floor in 27 begins, however he has positioned on 12 events.
“He can certainly break that hoodoo this weekend,” Sutherland stated.
“It’s all the time a priority if you’ve had that many begins on good tracks for no wins however 12 months in the past he wasn’t able to profitable on an excellent observe and this preparation he has been.
“It’s an enormous benefit at Cootamundra to be within the first 4.”
Gentleman Max is already a Forbes Cup winner this time in the place he beat Zarlu, who he does battle with as soon as once more.
“He’s a quality horse and I’ve got no doubt he’ll be there again and we’ve just got to hope we’ll beat him,” Sutherland stated.
Despite Gentleman Max wanting like his predominant probability, Sutherland stated to not low cost his different runner within the race, Willy White Socks.
In truth, he stated he wouldn’t have been in a position to break up them had Willy White Socks not draw the widest gate.
He’s received 4 of his previous seven begins and if Brad Vale can discover a great place for him to settle in, count on him to present an excellent sight.
“He’s come a long way this preparation and he’ll be competitive against these horses,” Sutherland stated. “He’s a type of horses that wants a dig up early simply to place him into it, even when you’re not going ahead.
“He could make an excellent, lengthy sustained run and he loves a struggle. If you will get him in a struggle he’ll dig in, however when you let him do his personal factor he’s a little bit of a final bugger. The dry observe will go well with him and he will get into it nicely so he’s a reside probability.”
Bank on one thing particular
LEVEE Bank ran third at her final begin and punters solely want to take a look at the horses that completed in entrance of her to know she’s a serious participant within the Heritage Motel Benchmark 63 Handicap (1200m).
The Kerry Weir-trainer five-year-old ran behind crack nation horses Suncraze and Don’t Give A Damn at Rosehill in a Highway Handicap on September 9.
Don’t Give A Damn has since come out and received a Highway race in scintillating trend and Weir says his mare is primed to take out Sunday’s occasion.
He’s not even frightened in regards to the different runners.
“Bad luck is our biggest danger. I think that’s all that can beat her,” he stated.
“She’s obtained to be very arduous to beat and it is a drop at school from that Rosehill run. We know the place our mare is at this race will go well with her right down to the bottom.
“Suncraze and Don’t Give A Damn will begin favourites within the Anniversary Highway race in a couple of weeks as a result of they’re nicely above common.”
Levee Bank has been ridden by Megan Taylor at her previous 12 begins, stretching again to final November and from barrier 5 she’ll sit off the velocity.
“She’s lost a lot of her early pace so she’ll be back a bit worse than midfield but she’ll run home,” Weir stated.
“As lengthy as she doesn’t get held up in entrance of sluggish horses and Megan can get her out within the straight she’ll be arduous to carry out.
“She’s not the nicest horse on race day. She performs up and sweats up, however she’s obtained loads of potential and since she’s been with me she’s proven a bit of sophistication.”
Forget Levee Bank’s solely run at Cootamundra final December when she ran three.5 lengths fifth.
She missed the beginning by three lengths and Taylor dropped the whip, however the horse nonetheless flashed residence.
“Everything that could go did go wrong that day,” Weir stated.
Another constructive for Levee Bank would be the seemingly agency observe the place she provides her greatest.
INSIDE MAIL with Matt Jones
four. Dripping Carats is getting nearer to a extra appropriate distance and he has carried out nicely sufficient in significantly better races than this simply final preparation. 5. Sidonia Miss needed to cowl further floor final begin and wasn’t far off 1. Hoffski who didn’t must go round a horse at Wagga Wagga over the identical distance. 2. Real Bonafide most likely ought to have received final time and get his probability to do it right here. 12. Lovespeed Girl will recognize the drop in grade right here however she’s nonetheless to win from seven begins.
BETTING STRATEGY: DRIPPING CARATS TO WIN
5. French Politician has been constant with out profitable and solely has to beat a large barrier to once more determine within the end. Another horse that has been knocking on the door has been eight. Bravado Lass and you may neglect his last-start sixth when he was hampered within the straight and ought to have completed nearer. Just a few is perhaps yelling “great scot” if Flux Capacitor will get up however he’s been constant additionally and will get Cahill to journey once more.
BETTING STRATEGY: FRENCH POLITICIAN TO WIN
1. Storm Force has kind behind a couple of good metropolis horses like Osborne Bulls and if he runs to that kind it is going to be arduous to see something matching him right here. three. O’ So Hazy has been getting too far again however has been working residence strongly for placings so she’s an each-way hope. Keep your eye in the marketplace with reference to first starter 10. Red Medusa who comes into this off one good wanting trial.
BETTING STRATEGY: STORM FORCE TO WIN
1. Elite Hong Kong all the time has an excellent run in him however he’ll want a little bit of luck from a large gate and from the rear of the sphere the place he’ll seemingly settle. four. Neyla’s Girl brings good midweek metropolis kind to this race and ought to be sturdy on the line. 7. Onemore For Mumma will get all of the breaks from the within draw and is flying excessive this preparation and there’s no purpose why she will’t make it two wins on the trot.
BETTING STRATEGY: QUINELLA four, 7
Following an ideal last-start second over 1000m 1. Lighthouse will relish getting again as much as 1200m right here and have to be revered. 2. Levee Bank ran behind two very good county gallopers within the Highway race at Rosehill and if he runs as much as that he’ll be very arduous to beat. three. Snippet Of Hope is in nice kind and is tough to knock on this race however she has a poor profitable report. eight. Back To The Bar is in the kind of kind that means he’s a light-weight hope at his greatest distance.
BETTING STRATEGY: LEVEE BANK TO WIN
1. Foxlike has improved with each run this preparation however has a difficult barrier to negate. three. Cama De Rosas has had a brief however useful profession thus far and has been higher ridden up on the velocity however must fly out of the gates to seek out a great place from that draw. four. Kopaonik ought to have received greater than he has and will discover this race a bit simpler than his final begin. 7. Squared not often runs a foul race however he not often wins too. If he can discover an additional size he’ll go shut right here with a prime nation jockey on board.
BETTING STRATEGY: CAMA DE ROSAS TO WIN
three. Delivered ran behind top-of-the-line prospects in nation racing final begin so observe that kind. He simply may want a little bit of luck from the again half of the sphere. four. Why Me Lord has some kind round top-line nation gallopers and proved how efficient he was down in grade final begin with a pleasant win and this shouldn’t be any more durable. 5. Oakwood Lady comes into this in prime kind and has been profitable barely higher races so she’s a large hope. 7. Element Of Luck was nice first-up and she’ll enhance loads off that run in Canberra and is rather more suited at 1400m so watch her late.
BETTING STRATEGY: OAKWOOD LADY TO WIN
It’s arduous to go previous 2. Gentleman Max right here although he hasn’t received on a agency floor. It shouldn’t deter punters. three. Zarlu was a stride or two away from working excessive of Gentleman Max within the Forbes Cup and he has to return into calculations once more at his favorite distance. 1. Dure hasn’t received for some time however he’s raced in more durable firm than this and is an each-way hope. As is 5. Willy White Socks who solely wants luck from a large gate to determine within the end on a floor he’ll take pleasure in working on. Likely chief 10. Gun Trace is the light-weight hope and with simply 54kg on his again he shall be in it for a great distance. He’s been set for this.
BETTING STRATEGY: QUINELLA 2, three